Why Polls are wrong on Clinton lead


Here is the Quinnipiac latest Poll.

First it does not show sample size.

2nd it is an ANTI Trump Poll.

Notice the NEGATIVE questions they ask:
8. As you may know, there is a recently released tape in which Donald Trump brags about
sexually assaulting women. Trump has since apologized and said that these comments were
simply “locker room talk”. In deciding your vote for president, is what Trump said in
that video a deal breaker, a big deal but not a deal breaker, or not a big deal?

9. As you may know, multiple women have recently said that Donald Trump groped or made
inappropriate sexual advances towards them without their consent. Trump has denied these
allegations, calling them lies. Do you believe that Donald Trump committed these actions,
or not?

10. In deciding your vote for president, are the allegations that Donald Trump groped or
made inappropriate sexual advances towards women a deal breaker, a big deal but not a
deal breaker, or not a big deal?

Please notice that there is not ONE question involving Clinton Emails, Lies, Clinton foundation illegal donations or Bills infidelities.

This poll also relied on HEAVY Democrat states.

This is the RIGGING of the election.

 

CLINTON TOPS TRUMP BY 7 POINTS,
QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS;
MOST VOTERS SAY MEDIA IS BIASED AGAINST TRUMP
Republican Donald Trump’s lead among men and white voters all but vanishes as Democrat
Hillary Clinton takes a 47 – 40 percent likely voter lead, with 7 percent for Libertarian Party
candidate Gary Johnson and 1 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein, according to a
Quinnipiac University national poll released today.
This compares to a 45 – 40 percent Clinton lead in an October 7 survey by the
independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
Today, men are divided with 43 percent for Trump and 41 percent for Clinton. Women
back Clinton 52 – 37 percent.
White voters go 45 percent for Trump and 41 percent for Clinton, while non-white voters
back Clinton 63 – 25 percent.
In a head-to-head, two-way race, Clinton tops Trump 50 – 44 percent.
The news media is biased against Trump, American likely voters say 55 – 42 percent,
including Republicans 88 – 8 percent and independent voters 61 – 37 percent. Democrats say
77 – 20 percent that the media is not biased.
American likely voters believe 51 – 31 percent that Trump assaulted several women.
Democrats believe it 84 – 5 percent and independent voters believe it 45 – 34 percent.
Republicans don’t believe it 56 – 22 percent.
“Donald Trump made the charge, and American likely voters agree: There IS a media
bias against the GOP contender,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac
University Poll.
“But does that explain his lackluster standing with his core base?”
-moreTim
Malloy, Assistant Director
(203) 645-8043
Rubenstein
Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
2
Quinnipiac University Poll/October 19, 2016 – page 2
Trump does not have a sense of decency, American likely voters say 59 – 36 percent and
he is not fit to be president, voters say 58 – 38 percent.
Clinton does have a sense of decency, voters say 55 – 42 percent, but they are divided on
whether she is fit to be president, as 47 percent say yes and 49 percent say no.
“Media bias or not, Trump’s character issues have ominous implications,” Malloy said.
“The consensus opinion is that Trump groped women and is neither fit enough nor a decent
enough person to be President.”
From October 17 – 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,007 likely voters
nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call
landlines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts
public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida,
Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, North Carolina, Georgia and the nation as a public
service and for research.
Visit http://www.qu.edu/polling or http://www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
3
1. If the presidential election were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine the Democrats, Donald Trump and Mike Pence the Republicans,
Gary Johnson and Bill Weld the Libertarians, and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka the Green
party candidates, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more
toward Clinton and Kaine, Trump and Pence, Johnson and Weld, or Stein and Baraka?
LIKELY VOTERS……………………………………
WHITE……
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Clinton and Kaine 47% 7% 91% 38% 41% 52% 46% 35%
Trump and Pence 40 80 4 42 43 37 42 49
Johnson and Weld 7 6 3 11 10 4 7 9
Stein and Baraka 1 2 1 2 1 2 – 2
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 – 1 – 1 1 –
DK/NA 5 4 2 6 5 4 3 5
AGE IN YRS………….. WHITE…..
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht
Clinton and Kaine 57% 47% 43% 46% 36% 45% 41% 63%
Trump and Pence 20 35 48 47 49 42 45 25
Johnson and Weld 19 8 4 1 10 6 8 4
Stein and Baraka 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 2
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 – – – 1 1 –
DK/NA 1 6 4 5 3 5 4 5
2. If the only candidates were Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine the Democrats and
Donald Trump and Mike Pence the Republicans, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As
of today, do you lean more toward Clinton and Kaine or Trump and Pence?
LIKELY VOTERS……………………………………
WHITE……
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Clinton and Kaine 50% 10% 93% 41% 44% 55% 49% 39%
Trump and Pence 44 86 4 49 48 40 46 55
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 – 1 – 1 1 –
DK/NA 6 4 3 8 8 4 4 6
AGE IN YRS………….. WHITE…..
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht
Clinton and Kaine 63% 51% 45% 46% 40% 48% 44% 65%
Trump and Pence 32 39 50 49 55 46 50 28
SMONE ELSE(VOL) – 1 1 – 1 1 1 –
DK/NA 4 8 4 5 5 5 5 7
*Results based on total sample, only asked of respondents who did not choose Clinton or
Trump Q1. Respondents who named Clinton or Trump in Q1 assigned to initial preference.
4
3. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of
motivation to vote in this year’s presidential election; are you more motivated than
usual, less motivated, or about the same as usual?
LIKELY VOTERS……………………………………
WHITE……
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
More 53% 56% 52% 54% 50% 55% 54% 52%
Less 17 21 14 17 19 15 13 20
About the same 29 22 34 29 30 28 33 27
DK/NA 1 1 – 1 – 1 – 2
AGE IN YRS………….. WHITE…..
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht
More 46% 48% 55% 58% 51% 55% 53% 52%
Less 28 23 11 13 17 15 16 18
About the same 26 30 33 27 32 28 30 30
DK/NA – – 1 2 – 2 1 –
4. Would you say that Hillary Clinton is fit to be President of the United States or not?
LIKELY VOTERS……………………………………
WHITE……
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 47% 11% 86% 41% 43% 51% 51% 36%
No 49 86 11 56 54 45 48 59
DK/NA 4 2 3 3 3 5 1 4
AGE IN YRS………….. WHITE…..
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht
Yes 52% 50% 44% 47% 41% 47% 44% 56%
No 45 47 52 49 58 49 53 37
DK/NA 2 4 4 4 1 4 3 6
5. Would you say that Donald Trump is fit to be President of the United States or not?
LIKELY VOTERS……………………………………
WHITE……
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 38% 71% 4% 42% 43% 33% 40% 46%
No 58 27 93 52 53 62 58 49
DK/NA 4 3 2 6 4 5 3 5
AGE IN YRS………….. WHITE…..
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht
Yes 24% 33% 44% 41% 50% 36% 43% 24%
No 74 64 50 53 48 58 54 70
DK/NA 2 3 5 6 2 6 4 6
5
6. Would you say that Hillary Clinton has a sense of decency or not?
LIKELY VOTERS……………………………………
WHITE……
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 55% 21% 92% 47% 49% 59% 52% 48%
No 42 75 7 50 48 37 46 49
DK/NA 3 5 1 2 3 3 3 3
AGE IN YRS………….. WHITE…..
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht
Yes 73% 53% 48% 53% 45% 55% 50% 67%
No 25 44 48 44 52 43 47 28
DK/NA 2 3 4 3 3 3 3 5
7. Would you say that Donald Trump has a sense of decency or not?
LIKELY VOTERS……………………………………
WHITE……
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 36% 64% 7% 40% 45% 28% 35% 43%
No 59 31 90 54 51 66 61 51
DK/NA 5 4 3 6 4 6 4 6
AGE IN YRS………….. WHITE…..
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht
Yes 24% 31% 41% 41% 47% 31% 39% 28%
No 76 65 52 55 48 64 56 66
DK/NA – 4 7 4 4 5 5 6
8. As you may know, there is a recently released tape in which Donald Trump brags about
sexually assaulting women. Trump has since apologized and said that these comments were
simply “locker room talk”. In deciding your vote for president, is what Trump said in
that video a deal breaker, a big deal but not a deal breaker, or not a big deal?
LIKELY VOTERS……………………………………
WHITE……
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Deal breaker 27% 5% 48% 24% 21% 31% 29% 21%
Big deal/Nt deal br. 35 36 34 36 36 34 34 33
Not a big deal 35 59 11 38 41 29 33 43
DK/NA 4 1 7 2 2 5 4 3
AGE IN YRS………….. WHITE…..
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht
Deal breaker 34% 29% 24% 23% 20% 30% 25% 31%
Big deal/Nt deal br. 47 36 32 30 34 32 33 37
Not a big deal 19 33 38 42 44 32 38 27
DK/NA 1 2 6 5 1 5 3 5
6
9. As you may know, multiple women have recently said that Donald Trump groped or made
inappropriate sexual advances towards them without their consent. Trump has denied these
allegations, calling them lies. Do you believe that Donald Trump committed these actions,
or not?
LIKELY VOTERS……………………………………
WHITE……
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 51% 22% 84% 45% 44% 56% 50% 45%
No 31 56 5 34 37 26 31 37
DK/NA 19 22 11 21 19 18 19 18
AGE IN YRS………….. WHITE…..
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht
Yes 64% 55% 44% 50% 42% 53% 48% 61%
No 20 28 37 31 40 29 34 22
DK/NA 16 17 19 19 18 19 18 17
10. In deciding your vote for president, are the allegations that Donald Trump groped or
made inappropriate sexual advances towards women a deal breaker, a big deal but not a
deal breaker, or not a big deal?
LIKELY VOTERS……………………………………
WHITE……
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Deal breaker 28% 8% 52% 22% 22% 34% 30% 23%
Big deal/Nt deal br. 34 32 34 39 35 34 34 33
Not a big deal 33 59 10 33 39 28 33 42
DK/NA 4 1 4 6 4 4 3 3
AGE IN YRS………….. WHITE…..
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht
Deal breaker 46% 32% 22% 21% 20% 33% 26% 35%
Big deal/Nt deal br. 35 32 36 35 34 33 33 37
Not a big deal 15 32 38 40 43 32 37 23
DK/NA 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 5
11. Do you think that the news media is biased against Donald Trump or not?
LIKELY VOTERS……………………………………
WHITE……
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Biased 55% 88% 20% 61% 61% 49% 51% 66%
No/Not biased 42 8 77 37 36 47 45 32
DK/NA 3 4 3 2 2 4 4 2
AGE IN YRS………….. WHITE…..
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht
Yes/Biased 60% 51% 56% 52% 66% 51% 58% 45%
No/Not biased 39 48 39 45 32 45 39 51
DK/NA 2 1 5 3 1 4 3 5

https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us10192016_U29frgv.pdf

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